Big Story Weather – July 8, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
Big Story Weather from July 5-7: This past weekend the heat continued to scorch the Southwest and parts of the Southern Plains with temps well over 100F. The severe weather on Friday consisted of 1 tornado in Florida that was associated with an easterly wave. The largest hail of the day came from Montana at 1.5 inches and the strongest wind gust was recorded in Arizona at 74mph. On Saturday one tornado was reported in Kentucky and the largest hail at 1.75 inches occurred in Wyoming and North Dakota. The strongest winds were 87mph and that was in Western South Dakota. On Sunday no tornadoes were reported, however the largest hail was 3.0 inches and that occurred in Montana. The strongest winds were 70mph that came out of South Dakota. Heavy rains also hit the Gulf Coast and Southeast US with places getting anywhere from 2-9 inches of rainfall on average.
Big Story Weather Discussion for July 8: High pressure off the East Coast will help make for a nice day across good portion of the region. Low pressure moving through the Northern Rockies will bring another day of severe weather to the region. High pressure over the Southwest will make for another hot and dry day in the area. The Pacific Northwest will be dry and cooler today.
Severe Weather: There will be two areas of severe weather today. The first will be over the Northern Rockies into the Southern Plains and the Northern Plains. This area will see mostly damaging winds and large hail with a few isolated tornadoes. The second will be from the Gulf Coast into the Southeast where again this will see mostly damaging winds and flooding rains.
Tropical Weather: Last night Tropical Storm Chantal developed in the Atlantic Basin well off to the East right now, however slow strengthening and also a movement to the northwest could put the US in its path later this week for possible landfall. Winds are currently around 35kts and pressure near 1007mb.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
Baltimore MD: Partly cloudy with a high near 83F. Overnight lows will be around 68F.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. High temps will be around 88F and overnight lows will fall to 79F. Total rainfall today will be around 0.50 inches.
Fargo ND: Partly cloudy with an isolated thunderstorm. High temps will be near 70F, and overnight lows will fall to around 66F. Total rainfall will be near 0.25 inches.
Billings MT: Partly cloudy with an isolated thunderstorm. High temps will be around 68F and overnight lows will fall to near 60F. Total rainfall will be near 0.25 inches.
Portland OR: Partly cloudy and cooler today with a high near 73F and overnight lows around 66F.
July 8, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Tropical Storm Erick continues to track along the Mexican coast with winds around 45kts and a pressure near 998mb. The storm will slowly begin to weaken. Low pressure moving towards Hawaii will bring increased seas to the region. Low pressure moving towards Western Canada will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Canada will extend a cold front into the United States bringing strong to severe storms over the Central US as it interacts with another low pressure near Wyoming.
Atlantic Ocean: Tropical Storm Chantal currently spinning in the open Atlantic has winds around 35kts and pressure near 1007mb. The storm will strengthen somewhat as it continues a west-northwest track. Low pressure near Greenland will bring showers to the region again today. Two waves have pushed off Africa and will need to be watched over the next couple of days for possible tropical development.
Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Soulik currently north of Guam has winds around 60kts and pressure near 989mb. This storm will gain strength as it moves towards the west-northwest. Low pressure near Manila PI will bring heavy rains to the region. Multiple low pressures moving through Northern Russia will bring showers to the region. A cold front will extend into the Koreas possibly bringing showers and isolated thunderstorms to the area.
Indian Ocean: Low pressures along the monsoonal trough will again bring another round of heavy rains to India and parts of Southeast Asia.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure continue to push through the basin with impacts being felt over Southern Argentina and Chile with rain and higher elevation snows. Low pressure will also bring stronger northwest winds to parts of South Africa. A third area of low pressure will bring showers to Southwest Australia to include Perth.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for July 8-12:
Baltimore MD: The area will start today impact free, however the next few days there will be slight to moderate impacts as thunderstorms move into the region.
Gulfport MS: The next five days the region will see slight to moderate impacts associated with tropical moisture and increased thunderstorms.
Fargo ND: The region will see slight impacts today and tomorrow. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Billings MT: The region will see slight impacts today. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Portland OR: The area will be impact free today followed by a couple of days of slight to moderate impacts associated with thunderstorms and then the period will finish impact free.
Climate Watch for July 3-7:
Baltimore MD: The region started with temps around 1 degree below normal and then warmed to around 1-6 degrees above normal for the remainder of the period.
Gulfport MS: The past five days with all the rain the region has seen temps around 3-12 degrees below normal.
Fargo ND: The past five days the region has seen temps running about 1-8 degrees above normal.
Billings MT: The period started with temps about 4-7 degrees above normal followed by a cool down with temps dropping to around 1-2 degrees below normal.
Portland OR: The region started about 7 degrees above normal and then fell briefly to around 3 degrees below normal before finishing the period around 1-2 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for July 8, 2013:
Day 1-3: High pressure along the Eastern seaboard will bring partly cloudy skies to the Northeast and also to the Mid-Atlantic region. Tropical moisture will be in place over the Gulf Coast and also the Southeast bringing another day of heavy rains to the region. A frontal boundary moving through the Northern Rockies will bring strong to severe storms for the Rockies and also into a good portion of the Plains. High pressure over the Southwest will bring hot and dry weather to the region, while sunny skies will prevail over a good portion of the West Coast. Day two low pressure will move into the Great Lakes bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. Tropical moisture will be on the increase over Florida as another easterly wave pushes into the region. The period will finish with rain and thunderstorms from Maine to the Gulf Coast, while the easterly wave will bring another day of showers over Florida. A low pressure area over Colorado will also bring strong thunderstorms to the region. The west will remain dry.
Day 4-7: The period will start with showers and thunderstorms extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the Gulf Coast, while Tropical Storm Chantal begins to push closer to Puerto Rico. High pressure over the Great Lakes will bring partly cloudy skies to the region. This will extend back into the Northern Plains as well. A frontal boundary will move through the Northern Rockies bringing a few thunderstorms to the region. The period will finish with plenty of tropical moisture over the Gulf Coast and Southeast, while a strong storm system pushes into the Northern Plains bringing another round of severe weather to the region.
Day 8-12: The period will start with showers and thunderstorms over the Northeast and tropical moisture in place over the Gulf Coast. A frontal boundary will be pushing through the Northern Plains with another round of showers and thunderstorms. Day ten will include high amounts of precipitation along the East Coast back into the Ohio River Valley and into the Gulf Coast region. Day eleven the moisture will continue to impact a large part of the Eastern US from the Mississippi River Valley to the East Coast. The period will finish with a strong storm system moving through the Great Lakes bringing strong to severe storms to the region, along with a lot of rainfall over the East Coast and back into the Gulf Coast as well.
Long Range Outlook: The period will begin with a storm system moving into the Northern Plains and a tropical feature moving into the Southeast Gulf of Mexico. The period will finish with a strong storm system still bringing heavy rains to the Northern Plains and a tropical feature bringing increased rainfall to the Texas and Louisiana region.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Orlando FL:
Monday: Partly cloudy with an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. High temps will be near 90F and overnight lows will fall to near 72F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph and total rainfall will be around 0.05 inches.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with an afternoon thunderstorm. High temps will be around 89F and overnight lows will fall to near 72F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph and total rainfall will be near 0.05 inches.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with afternoon thunderstorms. High temps will be around 90F and overnight lows will fall to near 74F. Winds will be from the southeast 5-10mph and total rainfall will be around 0.15 inches.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. High temps around 91F and overnight lows will fall to near 74F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph and total rainfall will be around 0.30 inches.
Friday: Partly cloudy with scattered afternoon thunderstorms. High temps around 89F and low temps near 74F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph and total rainfall will be near 0.60 inches.
Ask The Weatherman for July 8, 2013:
Question: What is an Easterly Wave?
Answer: When we talk about the tropics, one term that we use is called an Easterly wave. This defines a feature in the tropics that is associated with stronger winds and also heavy rainfall, however the feature does not have a closed isobar on the surface. Because of this it looks more like a trough moving through the tropics. This is how it gets its name. This past weekend two easterly waves moved through the Gulf of Mexico.
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Green Energy Weather Report for July 8, 2013:
Wave Energy: The Northeast will have slight wave energy today. This will also be true for the Mid-Atlantic. The Southeast will have slight to moderate amounts of wind energy. The Northern Gulf Coast will see slight amounts of wind energy today. The Southwest will have high amounts of wind energy along with the Pacific Northwest.
Solar Energy: The best place for solar energy today will be over a good portion of the West Coast and into the Southwest along with the Southern Plains. The second location will be over a good portion of the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast.
Wind Energy: The best place today will be over the Northern Rockies behind the cold front.
Hydro-Energy: There will be small amounts of hydro energy over the Rockies and Northern Plains. There will also be small amounts of energy over the Central Plains into the Ohio River Valley. There will be moderate amounts of energy from the Gulf Coast to the Southeast.
July 8 Weather and Your Wallet (Kansas City MO):
The summer heat will be in place today as temps rise into the upper 90′s and heat index values rise over 100.
Dining: There will be no issues with dining out for lunch except that it will be very warm.
Transportation: There will be no weather delays on the roads or in the air today in the region.
Shopping: Today will be a good day to buy those summer clothes as it will be plenty hot out with temps around 97F. Make sure to drink plenty of water before shopping for long periods of time outside.
Electricity: The area will see a higher demand for cooling today as the forecast is for 21CDD’s in the area. This will also carry into the overnight hours as well.
Yard Work: This morning will be the best time to get out and water the grass or the garden as this afternoon will be hot. The GDD’s for today is around 36.
Construction: The only issue for today is the heat. Make sure to take plenty of breaks during the day and drink plenty of fluids to stay hydrated.
Outdoor Venues: Today will be a great day to enjoy the water parks with the kids or take the dog for a walk near the lake.
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