Big Story Weather – July 15, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
Big Story Weather from July 12-14: Over the weekend the severe weather was fairly limited. This included minor wind damage reports from West Virginia to Texas, along with some hail reports in this same area. On Saturday severe weather was found in Mississippi as well with damaging winds. The heat continued in the Southwest, however the Southern Plains got some temporary relief from the heat in the form of flooding rains.
Big Story Weather Discussion for July 15: High pressure over West Virginia will bring nice weather to the Ohio River Valley and also the East Coast. Interaction with a frontal boundary and return flow will set the stage for thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast and into the Southern Plains. Nice weather is in store for the Northern Plains into the Rockies and out West. The heat will be over the Southwest again and the Northern Plains will begin to warm.
Severe Weather: The severe weather threat will be limited to damaging winds and large hail, while an isolated tornado will be possible. The area of concern will be from Eastern Texas through the Gulf Coast and into portions of the upper Mississippi River Valley and parts of the Great Lakes.
Tropical Weather: No areas of concern today in the Atlantic or the Gulf of Mexico.
Here is the weather for a few select cities:
New York NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 92F and overnight lows near 79F.
Gulfport MS: Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. High temps around 89F and overnight lows near 79F. Total rainfall will be around 0.55 inches.
Omaha NE: Partly cloudy with a high near 84F and overnight lows near 72F.
Billings MT: Partly cloudy with a high near 89F and overnight lows near 77F.
Portland OR: Partly cloudy with a high near 75F and overnight lows near 66F.
July 15, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure near Hawaii will bring large waves to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Canada will bring severe weather to the region. Low pressure to the south of Hawaii will also bring large waves to the region.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure near Texas will bring showers and thunderstorms along with flooding rains to the Southern Plains. Low pressure near Greenland will bring more showers to the region. Low pressure off the west coast of Africa will bring enhanced convection the region.
Western Pacific: Low pressure moving through Central Russia will bring showers to the region, while another area of low pressure will be moving through Eastern Russia bringing showers and thunderstorms. Low pressure northeast of Japan will bring a few showers to parts of Japan along the frontal boundary. Low pressure to the east of Manila will be responsible for heavy rains and strong winds in the region.
Indian Ocean: There are two areas of low pressure. The first near India associated with the monsoonal trough will bring heavy rains to the region. The second area of convection located to the northeast of Madagascar will need to be watched for possible tropical cyclone development over the next 24 hours.
Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving across the basin will have impacts on South America near Argentina. Impacts over South Africa with areas of convection. The third impact will be felt over Western Australia near Perth. A few showers will be in place over Southeast Australia and New Zealand associated with a frontal boundary in the region.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for July 15-19:
New York NY: The area will be impact free for the start of the period followed by slight to moderate impacts both on July 17 and also July 19.
Gulfport MS: The region will see five days of slight to moderate impacts associated with thunderstorms.
Omaha NE: The area will be impact free over the next five days.
Billings MT: The region will be impact free over the next five days.
Portland OR: The area will see no impacts over the next five days.
Climate Watch for July 10-14:
New York NY: The region started with temps around 1-6 degrees above normal followed by temps falling to near 7-10 degrees below normal before warming back up to near 8 degrees above normal.
Gulfport MS: The region has seen temps running around 1-7 degrees below normal.
Omaha NE: The area started with temps around 1-3 degrees below normal, followed by a warm up with temps near 1-3 degrees above normal for the remainder of the period.
Billings MT: The period started with temps running around 1-10 degrees above normal followed by temps falling to near 1-2 degrees below normal to finish the period.
Portland OR: The period started with temps around 1-7 degrees below normal and finished with temps around 1-6 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for July 15, 2013:
Day 1-3: The period will begin with high pressure over West Virginia which will bring sunny skies to most of the East Coast along with the Ohio River Valley. Return flow will bring showers over the Gulf Coast, while a westward moving storm system will bring showers and heavy rainfall to Western Texas and Oklahoma. The West will be dry and it will be warm over the Southwest. Day two will see a little more increase in monsoonal rains over the Rockies. The period will finish with a frontal boundary extending over the Northeast back into the Northern Plains, while showers and thunderstorms will again be over Western Texas and Oklahoma.
Day 4-7: The period will start with showers over the Great Lakes. We are also looking at another easterly wave approaching Florida with more showers and thunderstorms for the area. The return flow will again bring more showers and thunderstorms to the Gulf Coast. Low pressure over Western Texas will bring showers and thunderstorms from New Mexico northward. Day five low pressure over Southeast Canada will bring showers from the Northeast through the Great Lakes and back into parts of the Plains. The monsoonal moisture will be present over parts of the Southwest as well. The frontal boundary will extend from the Northeast through the Mid-Atlantic and over towards the Central Plains by day six leading to more showers and thunderstorms over the area. The Pacific Northwest will remain dry during this time. The period will end with the frontal boundary extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the Gulf Coast. H high pressure will be over the Great Lakes. Another storm system will be moving through the Northern Plains.
Day 8-12: The period will start with a strong low pressure moving through the Northern Plains bringing thunderstorms to the region. The West Coast and East Coast will both be dry to begin the period. Day ten the period will have one storm system over the East Coast along with another storm system moving through the Northern Plains – both bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. Day eleven there will be a storm system over the Mid-Atlantic bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region along with another storm system over the Northern Plains. There will also be more showers and thunderstorms over the Southwest.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with a frontal boundary along the East Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. There will also be an area of low pressure over the Northern Gulf that will bring thunderstorms to LA/MS. High pressure will be over the Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley. A new storm system will be pushing through the Northern Plains. The period will finish with a frontal boundary along the Southeast and Gulf Coast, while high pressure will be over the Northeast. The rest of the country will be tranquil.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Austin TX:
Monday: Cloudy with Showers/Thunderstorms. High temps will be around 79F and overnight lows will fall to near 68F. Winds will be from the east 5-10mph and total rainfall near 0.60 inches.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. High temps around 83F and overnight lows will be near 69F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph and total rainfall near 0.75 inches.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. High temps will be around 91F and overnight lows will be near 70F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph and total rainfall will be near 0.20 inches.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. High temps around 92F and overnight lows near 68F. Winds from the southeast 5-10mph and total rainfall near 0.15 inches.
Friday: Partly cloudy and hot with high temps around 95F and overnight lows near 68F. Winds from the southeast 7-12mph.
Ask The Weatherman for July 15, 2013:
Question: What type of thunderstorms form near a cold front?
Answer: There are multiple types of thunderstorms that form near a cold front. The first is called a frontal thunderstorm. These usually form at the frontal boundary. The second is the Mesoscale Convective Complex and also the Mesoscale Convective System storms and the major one that forms out ahead of the cold front is the Super-cell thunderstorms. All of these thunderstorms have the potential to be severe – creating damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes.
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Green Energy Weather Report for July 15, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be low amounts of wave energy over the Northeast and also into the Mid-Atlantic region. The Southeast and Northern Gulf will see limited amounts of wave energy as well. The Southwest will be limited in wave energy. The best wave energy will be limited, however best over the Northwest for today.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of solar energy across most of the East Coast, while a second area will be through the Northern Plains and then over a good portion of the Southwest and Northwest as well.
Wind Energy: The best place for wind energy today will be a small pocket near the Great Lakes and an area over New Mexico behind the frontal boundary.
Hydro-Energy: There will be good amounts of hydro energy from the Gulf Coast to the Southeast. There will also be large amounts of hydro energy over Southern Texas and Western Oklahoma associated with a frontal boundary.
July 15 Weather and Your Wallet (Atlanta GA):
Return flow over the region will bring a few afternoon thunderstorms to the region.
Dining: There will be a few impacts this afternoon in between thunderstorms. This evening should be fine along with this morning.
Transportation: There will be delays during the afternoon rush hour due to moderate and heavy rainfall in the region.
Shopping: This afternoon there could be some times when the umbrella will be needed.
Electricity: There will be a need for cooling during the afternoon and evening hours with the forecast for 12CDD’s for the area.
Yard Work: This morning will be the best time to get any yard work. This afternoon the showers and thunderstorms will put some delay to the yard work.
Construction: This afternoon when the thunderstorms move through the region expect to see some delays on outdoor projects.
Outdoor Venues: There will be some impacts this afternoon to those outdoor events such as taking a walk in the park.
Image Credit: Thinksatock