Big Story Weather – January 21, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
Big Story Weather from January 18-20: The biggest story from the weekend was the onset of the cold air that is pushing through the Northern Plains and making its way southeastward. Some locations in the Northern Plains have been seeing low temps in the negative 20 range along with wind chill values near negative 50F.
Weather Outlook for January 21: Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes today will bring Lake effect snows with snowfall amounts near six to ten inches for many places. High pressure moving into the Northern Plains will bring the onset of more Arctic air as temps will be heading to the negative area with wind chills near -45F or colder. High pressure over the Rockies will keep the west dry for another day. Below is the weather for a few select cities.
New York NY: Partly Cloudy/Evening Snow: 31F
Gulfport MS: Partly Cloudy: 63F
Omaha NE: Partly Cloudy: 15F
Billings MT: Partly Cloudy: 30
San Diego CA: Partly Cloudy: 61F
International Weather Outlook for January 21: Low pressure moving through Japan will bring cloudy skies with rain showers and mountain snows to the region. High pressure over Eastern China will keep the region partly cloudy and this will extend into the Koreas. High pressure over the Tibetan Plateau will keep the monsoonal trough well offshore today. Low pressure moving towards Spain will bring increased clouds to Western Europe. A frontal boundary moving through the tip of South America will bring showers to the region. High pressure will slowly push towards Western Australia, while a frontal boundary impacts Eastern Australia with showers and thunderstorms and then a tropical cyclone will bring showers to the Northern Regions. Here is the forecast for a few select international cities.
Tokyo Japan: Cloudy with Rain and a low near 4C
Hong Kong China: Partly Cloudy with a low near 18C
Singapore: Partly Cloudy with a low near 20C
Athens Greece: Cloudy with a low near 3C
Perth Australia: Partly Cloudy with a low near 20C
January 21, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Atlantic Basin: Low pressure moving over Eastern Europe will bring some light snow to the region. Low pressure moving towards England will bring an increase in clouds to the region. A stronger area of low pressure moving towards Greenland will bring stronger winds/seas and snow to the region. A weak area of low pressure still sits near the Cape Verde Islands.
Eastern Pacific: Low pressure moving into Central America will bring showers and stronger winds to the region. Another area of low pressure is moving towards the West Coast of the US over the next couple of days. A third area of low pressure is moving through the Southern Gulf of Alaska.
Western Pacific: Low pressure is pushing across the Pacific and heading towards the Gulf of Alaska. Another area of low pressure is moving up the east coast of Japan bringing showers to the region along with mountains snows. Another area of low pressure is moving near Manila this morning.
Indian Ocean: Tropical Cyclone Emang is located to the south of Diego Garcia and has winds around 35kts and a pressure of 996mb. Another area of low pressure is moving south of Africa.
Southern Hemisphere: Tropical Cyclone Garry is moving through the Fiji Islands bringing winds around 35kts along with a pressure of 996mb. This storm will continue to move east of the region. Another area of low pressure is moving south of the tip of South America with the associated frontal boundary bringing showers to the region. An area of low pressure is moving well northeast of Australia. While Tropical Cyclone Oswald is moving through the tip of Northern Australia.
Five Day Storm Index Outlook for January 21-25:
New York NY: A slight chance of impacts this evening as some light snow moves through the region and then again on the 25th look for a slight chance of impacts with another frontal boundary moving through bringing light snow to the region.
Gulfport MS: A nice week ahead with high pressure however a chance of impacts will move in on the 25th with the next frontal boundary an area of thunderstorms will develop.
Omaha NE: A few lingering snow showers this morning will bring a slight impact to the region.
Billings MT: A nice start to the forecast period with no impacts forecasted until the 24th when a few snow showers will move in bringing a slight impact to the region and then the 25th the region will clear back out to no impacts.
San Diego CA: A nice week ahead with no impacts forecasted for the region.
Climate Watch for January 16-20:
New York NY: The period began with temps around one to five above followed by a brief cool down with temps around three below normal and then quickly warmed back up to around 13 to 14 above normal.
Gulfport MS: The period started with temps around three to nine degrees below normal and finished the period with temps around two to three above normal.
Omaha NE: The period started with temps running around eight to 21 degrees above normal. The period ended with a sharp cool down as temps fell to around 11 degrees below normal.
Billings MT: The entire period saw temps around three to 19 degrees above normal.
San Diego CA: The 16th saw temps around one degree below normal followed by a warming trend with temps running around eight to 11 degrees above normal.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for January 21, 2013:
Day 1-3 A frontal boundary moving through the Great Lakes is going to bring some very heavy snowfall to regions downwind of the lakes such as Buffalo NY. High pressure over the Northern Plains will start to bring very frigid air to the region today as it slowly pushes towards the Southeast. High pressure over the Rockies will keep the region from the Rockies to the West Coast nice today. The middle of the period will have most of the United States under high pressure and cold air. A frontal boundary will begin to push towards the West Coast. The period will end with the strong high pressure center moving into the Great Lakes while the frontal boundary will begin to push onshore over the West.
Day 4-7: The period will begin with high pressure along the East Coast and a weak frontal boundary moving through the Northern Plains which will bring some light snow to the region as another high pressure area builds in over the West. The middle of the period will have the frontal boundary pushing towards the East Coast and a trailing cold front will move the through the Gulf Coast bringing some thunderstorms to the region while it should bring a cold rain and light snow to the north. High pressure will be over the Northern Plains. The period will end with a high pressure over the East Coast, while another frontal boundary develops over the Northern and Southern Plains.
Day 8-12: The period will begin with high pressure over the East Coast and a frontal boundary over the Gulf Coast region with the associated low pressure back in the Southwest. Another area of high pressure will be over the Northern Plains. High pressure will be sitting over the West Coast. By day 10 there will be a significant storm system sitting in the Southwest with the associated frontal boundaries in the Plains and also the Gulf Coast region, expect to see some heavy rains and snows for the north and also some strong thunderstorms through the Gulf Coast region. The end of the period will be marked with a very powerful winter storm for the Northern Plains and into the Great Lakes, while a potential severe weather event sets up for the Gulf Coast region into the Southeast.
Day 13-15: The period will begin with the strong low pressure system moving into the Northeast creating a large mess of snow and rain for the region. High pressure will be along the West Coast, while a piece of energy moves over the top of the ridge into the Pacific Northwest. The second day of the period will have the frontal boundary to begin pushing off the East Coast, while the piece of energy begins to slide into the Northern Plains bringing a swath of snow to the region. The middle of the period will have high pressure over a majority of the US bringing quiet conditions to the region. The period will end with multiple areas of low pressure moving across the region again bringing some very unsettled weather to the area. During this time we will also need to watch the development of the split flow Jetstream from the Pacific Northwest and through the Southern tier of the United States that could help set the stage for this active weather pattern.
Today’s Spotlight Forecast is for Buffalo NY:
Monday: Cloudy with lake effect snow, winds will be from the West around 15-20mph as high temps rise to around 20F, overnight lows will be around 10F.
Tuesday: Cloudy with heavy snow as winds are out of the Northwest 15-20mph with a high near 15F, overnight lows will fall to around 10F.
Wednesday: Cloudy with periods of snow as high temps rise to near 15F, winds will be from the Northeast around 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 8F.
Thursday: Partly Cloudy and cold with a high near 14F, winds will be from the Northwest around 5-10mph as overnight lows fall to around 7F.
Friday: Mostly Cloudy with periods of heavy snow as high temps rise to around 20F, winds will be light and variable as overnight lows fall to around 14F.
Ask The Weatherman for January 21, 2013:
Question: Why does it get warm when the high pressure passes east of us?
Answer: Great weather dynamics question. Due to dynamics of a high pressure, the winds on the back side or the west side of a high are from the South to Southwest, this brings warm air from the south to the north. This transportation of warmer air is why you will see it get really warm on the backside. Sometimes on the weather map in the winter you will see warmer temps in the Northern Plains than you will see in the Southeast at the same time and that is because of the location of the high pressure.
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Green Energy Weather Report for January 21, 2013:
Wave Energy: The Pacific Northwest and the entire West Coast will see an increase in wave action today making it a great spot for wave energy. The second location will be along the Northeast as the next frontal boundary starts to make its way into the region.
Solar Energy: The West Coast is under high pressure and has plenty of solar power potential again today. The Southern Plains expanding into the Gulf Coast will be another great place for solar energy today.
Wind Energy: The Northern Plains into the Great Lakes will be the best place for wind power today.
Hydro-Energy: The Great Lakes will have plenty of snowfall today which will add to the regions base and also create a nice long term hydro energy build up.
January 21 Weather and Your Wallet (Houston TX):
Dining: A cool start to the morning will lead to a very nice afternoon to enjoy lunch at the park, but you will need a jacket this evening.
Transportation: Should be a great day weather-wise across the roads.
Shopping: A very nice day to head out to the outdoor shopping malls with a light jacket.
Electricity: A small window of heating will be needed during the overnight hours, otherwise it should be a very nice day with a total of 5HDD’s.
Yard Work: A nice day to get out and enjoy the outdoors for you and your plants.
Construction: A nice day with no issues for construction projects throughout the region. The winds should also be light so no major issues with the elevated construction projects.
Outdoor Venues: A potential to need a jacket for this morning and late evening, otherwise a great day to get the dog out for walk at the park.
Image Credit: l i g h t p o e t / Shutterstock